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 Bilbo's Random Thought Collection
Thoughts on daily life, human interaction, history, society and the world
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Statistical data and maps by country
 Coin Collecting For Beginners
Nice site for those rekindling or beginning an interest in coin collecting
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Fun museum oriented blog with great numismatic blog links
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Fascinating tales of real life extremes
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Best movie database online!
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Interesting perspectives on statistics and life - Unfortuntely now inactive
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If you collect numismatic references or are building a library, this is the spot for information!
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Unusual and fantasy maps of the world
 Susan's Coins Blog
A pleasant and informative beginners coin blog
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The Gallup Poll
Polling figures on many topics
 New Entry

 Thursday, October 11, 2007
After the Paper, Gem Coins at Stack's Capital City Sale
Posted by tom

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Stack's Capital City Sale Holds Some Surprises

Amidst all the seminal John J. Ford, Jr. collection auctions, Stack's continues to offer sales of quality numismatic items for all kinds of collectors. The Capital City Sale, offers a vast array of U.S. paper money, including Fractional Currency, Federal Currency, Obsolete bank notes, lee bank.jpgContinental Currency, Colonial Currency, Bank of the United States paper money, American Bank Note Company plates, cylinders, vignettes and seals, plus hidden way at the back of the catalog, a nice very nice selection of U.S. coins with a few standout items.

In this U.S. coin section, which will be closing later this evening, there are several lots, which caught our attention, and which we thought should be brought to your attention. 1811 half cent.jpgThe first is an excellent example of the key date 1811 Half Cent. This coin grades 1811 half cent r.jpgEF-40 and has a bold and attractive appearance. Most Early American Copper collectors have to be satisfied with lower grade and less attractive examples of the 1811 Half Cent, but today you all have a chance to upgrade in style. Current bid as this posting is $3350, check it out online at Stack's, the lot number is 1662.

1923 Buff o.jpgThe second and third items of extra interest are both grade rarities of accessible dates. Lot 1724 offers a 1923 S Buffalo Nickel graded MS-65. It's a goo1923 Buff r.jpgd strike and has the peripheral yellow toning common to coin album storage of the day. Current bid rests at $8250 as of this posting time. Washington Quarters have experienced a nice renaissance of late possibly due to some new collectors advancing from State Quarters. 1932 Wash o.jpgLot 1798 showcases a stunning MS-65 example of the most sought after date of the type; the 1932 D. It's an exceptional piece and should draw its share of attention. Currently the bid is at $9767 while I write this posting.

The last item we'll bring to yo1868 Seated o.jpgur attention is a stunning Liberty Seated Half Dollar, 1868 Proof-65. A nice original gem from a small mintage of 600 pieces. Take a look at it in lot 1834 online at Stack's and consider bumping the current bid of $6302, if is the right item to build your collection.

 


Lots You'll Like
10/11/2007 2:26:37 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
 Wednesday, October 10, 2007
eBay Neighborhoods Something to Watch
Posted by tom

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600 New Neighborhoods Coming to eBay

Since late 2006, eBay, the online auction giant, has been working to maintain their growth rates. The company, though still huge in raw traffic terms, has been seeing declines in their numbers of listings and total sales in dollars during 2007, leaving openings for competitors in specific fields. Companies like Amazon.com, with lot's of business in entertainment products including secondary market sales hosting, Overstock.com which offers a wide array of household products and uBid Inc. which is structured much like eBay, offer extra services, simple formats, fewer fees and a cozier atmosphere, making them attractive alternatives to the larger eBay.

To combat these circumstances and keep their customers loyal, FOXNews reported today that, eBay is developing a Neighborhoods program, which will offer more community based initiatives. This new look for eBay will incorporate much more user content, such as product reviews and guides, Blogs and 600 Neighborhoods to allow people with similar interests to communicate in a more open and dynamic atmosphere. One might compare this to Amazon offerings, which display product reviews, user best of genre lists, industry reviews, product information and other data designed to assist the potential buyer in finding the appropriate item for purchase.

What effect this new development might have on new issue coin sales, or secondary market numismatics is not too clear. I would guess that it may make the development of successful new community based numismatic systems more difficult, unless they have an edge like the extensive price guides available through NumisMaster.com, or the narrowly defined collecting community appeal of country specific auction firms like Noble Numismatics or club based information exchange sites like Zeno.RU the Oriental Coins Database.


News You Can Use
10/10/2007 10:53:43 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
 Monday, October 08, 2007
Stronger Gold Forecast for Next Two Years
Posted by tom

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UBS Adjusts Gold Forecast

As reported in Reuters today, two major factors contributed to today’s raising of the UBS 2008 and 2009 gold price forecasts. UBS noted that increased demand for gold in the jewelry trade even in the face of rising prices, along with an expectation of increased demand for gold as a speculative investment, indicate that the market has settled in to current price levels. With the comfort level raised, the floor seems more solid, making only smaller adjustments likely for the foreseeable future.

The previous UBS forecast called for $650 gold in 2008 and $550 gold in 2009. The new forecasts are for $760 gold in 2008 and $700 gold in 2009, indicating a higher fallback benchmark over the two-year period.

This added confidence in the reliability of gold as a long-term investment, in addition to the general attitude of gold as an inflation hedge, should invigorate those already looking at, or participating in this precious metals market.

 



10/8/2007 1:22:24 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
 Friday, October 05, 2007
Friday Fix
Posted by tom

TMgraph.gifFriday Fix

London pm fixes for 10-5-07

Gold $737.50

Silver $13.435

Platinum $1,364.00

Palladium $366.00


Friday Fix
10/5/2007 12:28:42 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
Kitchen Stories
Posted by tom

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Tom's Recommended Film of the Week

Kitchen Stories

Being a market analyst and a student of statistics, I was intrigued by the premise of Kitchen Stories. Conducting a study of people’s movements about the kitchen during daily life, without interfering! What a concept. Must be a comedy. I know that traffic patterns in my kitchen at home are always comedic.

But Kitchen Stories offers the viewer a nice taste of humanity among the sight and situational gags. Even with it’s slow pace and decidedly light touch, the film sticks with you a while, especially certain images, like the high chair, the home trailers, the diagrams and the warmth of the pipe.

Much of Kitchen Stories is almost a silent comedy, but as things warm up in the main relationship, dialog enters the picture. With or without dialog, this is a nice little film, filled with the dry Scandinavian sense of humor and irony. To most viewers this will be something entirely different and perhaps incomprehensible, but I like to give new things a try now and again.

Kitchen Stories , with its foreign sensibilities, may not become your favorite comedy, but at least it will give you a sense of how essential friendship can become during the long cold Northern winters.


Tom's Recommended Film of the Week
10/5/2007 10:44:53 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
 Wednesday, October 03, 2007
Commodities - A Wild Ride
Posted by tom

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Volatility in Commodities

 

Recent comments from a heavy hitting Swiss commodities management firm reflect on my previous observations. Metals markets are so active with new investors that surges and sell-offs have become a way of life. Be ready for this if you are entering the precious metals markets. Think in long term.

 

Consider another investment category if you cannot tolerate roller coasters.

 

Commodities markets in general have seen record levels of false price reporting and manipulation over the past year. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission announced yesterday that it has collected a record $540 million in penalties and restitution resulting from cases of fraud, manipulation and various misconduct. Higher market volumes have led to more fraud in commodities.

 

Don't think we've seen too much of that yet with metals, but I would expect similar trends to come our way in time. My best advice - get to know your market, and those companies and individuals you work with, before you invest.


News You Can Use
10/3/2007 10:16:23 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
 Tuesday, October 02, 2007
Space Race, Cold War and new Coins
Posted by tom

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Sputnik Reality

Have you been watching the Sputnik coin orbit around the earth over the top of my Blog for the last few weeks? All that spinning overhead got my mind stirred up, so I clicked on the link to find out more. This Wednesday an orbital Sputnik coin will be released from Cook Islands. Produced by the Perth Mint, the coin honors the 50th Anniversary of the launching of the Russian satellite Sputnik. This event and what led to it is the subject of a fascinating article appearing this week on FOX News. Seems coincidence and genius both had a hand in launching mankind into space and solidifying the U.S and U.S.S.R. on a 40 plus year Cold War. Boris Chertok's new book Rockets and People, along with his interviews with the AP provide more indepth reading on the dawn of Soviet space exploration. But just as Sputnik created a huge societal stir, the Sputnik Anniversary coin is causing quite a little bit of stir among my fellow numismatists.

sputnik orbital coin.gifOften times the collectors here in Iola pooh-pooh new innovations as gimmicky and dismiss them as trendy objects destined for numismatic oblivion. This coin, however, seems to be garnering more interest from the staff. I'm not sure if it is the motion that transfixes them, the space theme, which ignites their imagination, or the history that catches their attention. In any case, they are interested and that made me curious enough to check it out.

In searching over the Perth Mint information page for the Sputnik coin several things jumped out. The first thing I noticed was that this coin is coated with a water-resistant finish, rather than being contained in a capsule. Perth Mint did this so that you can actually handle the coin and orbit Sputnik around the earth, making this one of the most interactive and yet quality contained new issues I have ever seen. It is struck in silver, one ounce with fineness of .999, but of course there are other elements there as well. The moon and earth orbital system is color and the moon overlaps the silver legend. The clear coating allows the moon to orbit without damaging the silver legend, which is good since the coin costs about $72.50. Packaging is also essential to this product, as there is an elliptical shaped case and special box displaying great graphics.

Sputnik is the first in a proposed run of five space coins in the Orbit and Beyond series. The next coin to be released will commemorate the 35th anniversary of the first Moon Walk by Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin, through NASA. This coin is to exhibit a Dynamic Imaging feature, which should also be new to numismatics.


Focus Country
10/2/2007 12:03:36 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
 Monday, October 01, 2007
First Year U.S. Dime closes Tomorrow
Posted by tom

TMgavel.gifDraped Bust Dime at Heritage

Here's a coin with good appreciation potential, a lovely toned 1796 U.S. Dime graded MS-66 by NGC. Check out the track record on this grade, type and date through Heritage auctions from 1994 to early 2007.

1796 bust dime.jpg 1796 eagle dime.jpg

The mintages of all early date Draped Bust Dimes are very low and demand is always good for quality examples. This is the right combination to keep prices on a continual upward trend.

Bidding for this coin closes at 10pm central time tomorrow, October 2nd. There is a sellers reserve of $62,500, which equates roughly to the retail price of an MS-65 coin.


Auction Lot of the Week
10/1/2007 3:44:52 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
 Friday, September 28, 2007
The Proposition
Posted by tom

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Tom's Recommended Film of the Week

 

The Proposition

 

Australia in the 19th Century was as least as wild as the American West from what I understand of the history. There were aborigines, outlaws and lawmen, though I think in many ways their outlaws were more brazen and bloodthirsty and their lawmen more civilized than what we had in our western territories. At least that's how it seems in The Proposition.

 

The interesting thing about The Proposition is our perception of the characters as good or evil and how this changes as the film progresses. A simple premise takes on added meaning over time and with added character interaction. Intentions and true natures are revealed through situations and our stance shifts, as does that of the characters. The plot draws substantially from Jaws, in that a lawman is undermined in his responsibility to serve and protect the community from a savage force by bureaucratic callousness, petty townspeople's demands and sloppy performance of subordinates, forcing him to step outside the normal boundaries of law enforcement to resolve the problem. There are also similarities to A History of Violence in that a man is compelled to destroy his brother in order to escape his past.

 

All these classic themes are there in The Proposition, plus solid performances by Ray Winstone, Danny Huston and Guy Pierce and good camera work of stark scenery. You might even discover something new about the use of camels in western Australia. But I will caution potential viewers that this is a very violent and grim film, similar in nature to the spaghetti westerns and the Peckinpah films of the 70's. If that doesn't deter you, I think you will find value in The Proposition.

 


Tom's Recommended Film of the Week
9/28/2007 12:58:56 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
Gold Continues it's Ascent
Posted by tom

TM-NEWS.gifGold Climbs Higher on the Back of the Weakening Dollar

A quick look back over our Friday Fix postings indicates that gold has been rising steadily for the last seven weeks. The other metals we post, silver, platinum and palladium have been following suite over the same time period.

The struggles of the U.S. dollar and it's continuing decline against a very vibrant Euro provide a genesis for the movement of investment money into metals portfolios and futures. I would guess that this trend might continue through the fall months, as employers continue to use attrition to control costs, evaporating jobs and weakening the economy, while credit problems put banks and mortgage companies in possesion of more houses.

Sounds like recession, feels like recession, metals responding as if in recession. My two-cent advice? Proceed with caution on any financial decisions, spread your investments with a mind to increasing stability and make yourself essential to the economy lest you fall between the cracks.


News You Can Use
9/28/2007 11:26:18 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
Friday Fix
Posted by tom

TMgraph.gifFriday Fix

London pm fixes for 9-28-07

Gold $743.00

Silver $13.65

Platinum $1,377.00

Palladium $343.75


Friday Fix
9/28/2007 10:35:19 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
 Thursday, September 27, 2007
Act Quickly, These U.S. Lots Close Today!
Posted by tom

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Two Exciting U.S. Coins At Todays Heritage Auction

In just three hours the Heritage Long Beach U.S. Coin Auction will begin and I wanted to point out two stellar lots which will be sold befor the day is through.

hibernia obv.jpg

The first will cross the block in about three hours at 1PM Pacific Coast time. It's an MS-65 1723 Hibernia pattern silver Farthing, with tremendous eye appeal. hibernia rev.jpgThis William Wood type is very rare, with only about 20 pieces known and I double there could more than 2 or 3 that look this nice. Current bid is riding at the sweet figure of $18,000.

The second coin of exceptional note will be sold shortly after 7PM Pacific Coast time this evening as lot 1153 of the sale. Another dazzler, graded Proof-65, with gorgeous toning, this 1827/3 Bust Quarter restrike should garner much attention.quarter obv.jpg Recent research by Karl Moulton indicates that about 25 silver examples exist of this type, 9 or less being original strikes and the remainder being restikes made during two production runs. This coin has a sellers protective reserve set at $79,000.

Check out the listings for both of these quarter rev.jpgcoins at the Heritage website, where you can read more about their origins and rarity, but do it quickly if you want to be a part of the bidding action. 


Auction Lot of the Week
9/27/2007 1:05:02 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]