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 Thursday, November 06, 2008
Platinum numbers studied carefully
Posted by Dave
I was sitting in the chair at the dentist this morning during my usual blog posting time. I hope the regulars will forgive my tardiness. I am glad to see comments being posted about the mintage figures for the “W” uncirculated platinum American Eagle coins. First, I will answer the inquiry about where I get the numbers. I obtain them directly from the Mint’s press office as they become available each week. I appreciate the Mint’s help in getting them to me because I know how closely these are followed, especially at the end of each year. As far as the comparisons to the “W” proofs go, I will mention that these numbers are published each week in Numismatic News and are also published each Thursday on the www.numismaster.com Web site and the www.numismaticnews.net Web site. The uncirculated ounce stands at 393, while the proof version currently stands at 1,560. The half-ounce uncirculated total is 802 and the proof half ounce is 781. For the quarter ounce, the uncirculated is 2,138 and the proof is 1,025. The tenth-ounce uncirculated is 2,500 and the proof version is 2,224. The four-coin set of uncirculated coins stands at 1,191 and the proof four-coin set is 1,390. That’s it for today. Let the parsing begin.
11/6/2008 10:25:54 AM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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 Wednesday, November 05, 2008
Change coming to hobby
Posted by Dave
Looking at the precious metals first thing this morning seems to indicate a fairly quiet day after election day in the United States. Gold and silver were strongly higher yesterday. Now perhaps is the pause for reassessment as change comes to Washington, D.C. The most conspicuous shift for coin collectors will probably be a change in the director of the U.S. Mint. Though the person in that position is ostensibly serving a five-year term, the practical matter of it is it is considered one of the plum jobs that goes to loyalists of the new President Barack Obama. Who that will be will be a great parlor game in political circles. That means that the upcoming restrikes of the Saint-Gaudens ultra-high relief $20 coin early next year will be Mint Director Ed Moy’s valedictory legacy. He has made a game attempt to improve American coin design. I hope his successor will continue to build on this particular legacy. What I also hope is that the new Mint director will stop raiding the crypt of defunct American coin designs and let the talented Mint staff and Artistic Infusion Program participants come up with 21st century artwork.
11/5/2008 8:52:41 AM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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 Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Platinum unc. Eagle sales creep ahead
Posted by Dave
The new platinum numbers were released by the Mint. Drum roll please. The one-ounce 2008 uncirculated “W” platinum American Eagle saw sales rise by 67 coins to 393. It sounds more exciting if I write that total cumulative sales rose by 20 percent. There was an increase of 33 coins for the half-ounce size, taking the total to 802. For the quarter ounce, the increase was smaller still, just 23 coins. The total stands at 2,138. For the much-watched tenth ounce, the Mint actually reduced the total that has been sold by 38 coins to 2,500 even. Interestingly, the increase in the four-coin set was the largest individual number at 138, bringing the total cumulative sales to 1,191 sets. Adding up all of the issue prices we get sales of $415,571.95 for the week. If we subtract the backward March of the tenth ounce, the net total sales for the past week amounts to $410,443.85. In an age of $700 billion bank bailouts, that number seems rather small.
11/4/2008 9:01:58 AM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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 Monday, November 03, 2008
More Buffaloes on way
Posted by Dave
Buyers of one-ounce American Buffalo gold bullion coins are getting another chance, according to a Mint memo. See below. MEMORANDUM TO ALL AMERICAN BUFFALO BULLION COIN AUTHORIZED PURCHASERS SUBJECT: 2008–Dated American Buffalo Bullion Coins On Monday, November 3, 2008, the United States Mint will resume taking orders for 2008-dated American Buffalo One Ounce Gold Bullion Coins. Final inventory for these bullion coins is based on current in-house blank supplies and supplies are limited. The United States Mint will allocate these remaining coins among the Authorized Purchasers (AP’s). The United States Mint will use a slight modification of its standard allocation process, which is as follows: Monday morning, the inventory available for sale that week will be divided into two equal pools for this bullion coin product. The first pool for this bullion coin product will be allocated equally to all active American Buffalo One Ounce Gold Bullion AP’s respectively (active AP’s are those which have purchased American Buffalo One Ounce Gold Bullion Coins in the past three fiscal years). The second pool will be allocated based on each AP’s sales performance for this bullion coin product in the last three fiscal years (e.g., an AP who purchased 30% of all American Buffalo One Ounce Gold Bullion Coins during this time will be allocated 30% of this second pool). Each AP will be advised via fax Monday morning (or if a government holiday, Tuesday morning) of its allocation, and will have until 3 p.m. on the following Friday to place an order for its allocated coins. Any unordered coins remaining after 3 p.m. Friday will be put back into the pool for allocation the following Monday only until coin inventory for this product is depleted. Included in the communication with each AP’s initial allocation on November 3 will be its allocation percentage based on sales performance. Thank you for your patience and your continued support of the United States Mint Bullion Coin Program.
11/3/2008 2:03:28 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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Watch those final sales numbers
Posted by Dave
I’ve been getting more calls lately about Mint Statistics. It is a welcome break from an ongoing focus on the prices of precious metals. Some collectors are trying to figure out if certain items will have value based on scarcity due to low mintages. How novel is that? Well, we don’t get too far away from precious metals. The questions are about the 2008 uncirculated “W” platinum American Eagle coins. These coins are sold directly to collectors for a premium price. So far, the totals are indeed low. There have been only 326 one-ounce uncirculated “W” platinum coins sold. It is not cheap. The Mint has it priced at $1,214.95 with platinum currently trading at $825 a troy ounce. The half-ounce sales total is at 769. It is priced at $619.95. The quarter ounce is 2,115 and it is priced at $319.95. The tenth ounce has been especially scrutinized because it has gone off sale as an individual coin. The Mint has sold 2,538 of those. The four-coin set has a sales total of 1,053. It is priced at $2,219.95. The Mint will release updated sales figures this week. It is refreshing to see a little speculation built upon projections of scarcity rather than what a coin is made of. It shows the inner collector still lurks in many of us. Are you among those watching these numbers?
11/3/2008 8:58:19 AM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
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 Friday, October 31, 2008
Count up October's losses
Posted by Dave
It is the end of October. Many of us are licking our financial wounds. What do we have to show for it? I remember talking with my parents and grandparents about how the stock market crash of 1929 and the subsequent Great Depression affected the family. There was no compellingly interesting story of great wealth lost, jobs vanishing or huge suffering. Everything occurred on a relatively ordinary scale. There was some money lost in a bank failure. There was some loss of money in stocks, but nothing too dramatic. Life got harder but it went on. The one exception perhaps was my oldest uncle who bought some very cheap 3M stock, which in the early 1930s served as a kind of scrip in the area he lived. The profits on it helped pay for his college education. He was clever. What will I be able to say to family members down the road about the financial crash of 2008? Perhaps it is too soon to tell, but life goes on despite the shrinking balance in my company 401(k) account. I had my hair cut yesterday. The woman who cuts it said she heard that silver might be a good investment. I told her I didn’t think it would be a good fit for her. The experience reminded me of something I had read about Joseph P. Kennedy, father of President John F. Kennedy. He sold out before the crash in 1929 because he was hearing stock tips from barbers and shoe shine boys. He figured the boom on the market had gone on too long when that started happening. Is yesterday’s silver conversation a similar warning? It is worth considering the possibility.
10/31/2008 8:57:58 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Thursday, October 30, 2008
What's the most important coin?
Posted by Dave
What’s the most important coin in your life? No, I am not asking what is the most expensive coin that you own, although I suppose your answer to the first question could be the second. I have been working on a holiday gift guide insert for Numismatic News and quite naturally I hope that some readers will plan on giving coins for Christmas. Gifts of this kind can awaken an interest in the hobby, but the giver probably doesn’t know what specific coin might do the trick. For me, the coin that got it all started was a 1909 Lincoln cent. There is nothing special about it. It had no collector value when I found it in 1963, but it was the spark that set the blaze of my numismatic interest. I probably would not have even looked at the date on the cent except I was going through every cent in the house as the result of a comic book ad that I had read that promised to pay good money for certain cents dated before 1940. I wanted in on that action. I might have been 8, but even then I knew money made the world go around and I wanted to go along for the ride. Well, I found that cent. My mother noticed my sudden interest in coins and before you know it I was in a hobby shop buying a Lincoln cent album. She didn’t even wait for Christmas. That was fortunate for me. It was the perfect gift at the perfect time. I still have that cent and I consider it to be the most important coin I own, though it has no significance for anyone but me. How do you define the most important coin that you own?
10/30/2008 8:59:27 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Turkey or coins? What's your choice?
Posted by Dave
What do you do on Thanksgiving weekend? Eat turkey? Watch football? Visit family? All of the above? One thing I’ll bet you rarely do is work. Coin collectors in Michigan attend the Michigan State Numismatic Society show in Dearborn, beginning the day after Thanksgiving and running through Sunday. This year the dates are Nov. 28-30. It is a remarkable event. I have been there twice in 30 years. I am glad I have seen the show, but as I told MSNS secretary-treasurer Joe LeBlanc, when I interviewed him for Coin Chat Radio this week, I am even more glad that I haven’t seen any more of them. After all, I like my Thanksgiving’s at home better. Naturally, I asked him how his organization could make a success of the show on such a counterintuitive schedule. Listen to his answer starting tomorrow morning at 11 a.m. Central Time at www.coinchatradio.com. Fortunately for me, our former company president, Cliff Mishler, is from Michigan. He made the show a family event. He is usually accompanied by his son-in-law, Randy Thern, and sometimes grandkids. Mishler does what he enjoys and it has given the rest of the Numismatic News staff a break to enjoy their own holiday traditions. Thanks, Cliff. And good luck again this year, MSNS.
10/29/2008 9:19:34 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Tuesday, October 28, 2008
What's correct value?
Posted by Dave
As I sit here this morning wondering what to write, my eye keeps going back to my watch. It is a euro watch. It was created by the Austrian Mint before the euro was actually introduced into circulation in 2002. The face of the watch depicts the design of the 1-euro coin, though it is much larger than the coin is. I think about this because of the large fluctuations that have occurred in the foreign exchange markets since the euro was created. At the beginning of 1999 the euro came into existence as an accounting convention in the nations that agreed to use it. Their national currencies were fixed to the euro. On the foreign exchange market the euro began trading at approximately $1.17. Wow, you might say. The euro today is $1.25. That’s remarkably stable. If you had no other information, that would seem to be a reasonable conclusion. However, the euro trades everyday on the world’s foreign exchange market and its price has been anything but stable. It began life by declining against the dollar. It got to 82 cents in 2002 and then began to climb. It hit $1.60 just a few months ago and began to decline again. Now it is at $1.25. Who knows? It might even see $1.17 again in time for its 10th anniversary Jan. 1. Here’s the test. What’s the correct value?
10/28/2008 8:57:38 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Monday, October 27, 2008
Copper dominates cent change
Posted by Dave
Nothing gets response from readers like typographical errors. The latest head slapper for me in the office was a statement in Numismatic News that 2009 is the 200th anniversary of the Lincoln cent, instead of the 200th anniversary of Lincoln’s birth. It is the 100th anniversary of the Lincoln cent. Fortunately, such a significant year as 2009 will give me many more opportunities to point out the double Lincoln anniversary and to do it correctly. It will also give collectors a chance to scrutinize their change. In my Saturday errands I collected change in several stopping-off points. When I got home and emptied my pockets, I checked the coins. There was nothing particularly noteworthy about the larger denominations, except perhaps for how rapidly the Alaskan quarter has reached circulation in this area. The interesting aspect was the cents. I had nine of them. Four were years after 1982 and were made of copper-plated zinc. Five were the pre-1982 95 percent copper alloy. While it is not unknown for me to get a copper cent in change, the proportion is not usually so high. Perhaps a business got a roll from a bank full of older cents and I just happened to be in the check-out line when it was being used. The current combination of recession and the sharply falling price of copper might result in even more of the older cents reaching circulation. People are digging deeper to keep paying their bills and a 95 percent copper cent has a metallic value now of little more than face value, removing any possible incentive to keep it. Check your cents and see what you come up with.
10/27/2008 8:59:38 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Friday, October 24, 2008
Fractional Eagles to go on sale Monday
Posted by Dave
The Mint issued a memo announcing availability of fractional platinum American Eagles and the tenth-ounce gold American Eagle. See below: October 24, 2008 MEMORANDUM TO ALL AMERICAN EAGLE BULLION COIN AUTHORIZED PURCHASERS SUBJECT: 2008–Dated Bullion Coin Products On Monday, October 27, 2008, the United States Mint will resume taking orders for 2008-dated American Eagle One-Tenth Ounce Gold Bullion Coins and all sizes of American Eagle Platinum Bullion Coins. Final inventory for these bullion coins is based on current in-house blank supplies and some supplies are very limited. The United States Mint will allocate these remaining coins among the Authorized Purchasers (APs). The United States Mint will use a slight modification of its standard allocation process, which is as follows: Monday morning, the inventory available for sale that week will be divided into two equal pools for each bullion coin product. The first pool for each bullion coin product will be allocated equally to all active American Eagle Gold One-Tenth Ounce and American Eagle Platinum APs respectively (active APs are those which have purchased American Eagle Gold One-Tenth Ounce or American Eagle Platinum Bullion Coins in the past three fiscal years). The second pool will be allocated based on each AP’s sales performance for each bullion coin product in the last three fiscal years (e.g., an AP who purchased 30% of all American Eagle Gold One-Tenth Ounce Coins during this time will be allocated 30% of this second pool). Each AP will be advised via fax Monday morning (or if a government holiday, Tuesday morning) of its allocation, and will have until 3 p.m. on the following Friday to place an order for its allocated coins. Any unordered coins remaining after 3 p.m. Friday will be put back into the pool for allocation the following Monday only until coin inventory for each product is depleted. Included in the communication with each AP’s initial allocation on October 27 will be its allocation percentage based on sales performance. Please note: The inventory for the American Eagle Platinum One-Tenth Ounce Bullion Coins is very limited and will be allocated to the Authorized Purchasers with the highest sales performances for the past three fiscal years for this product. Available inventory will remain on allocation each week for the American Eagle Gold One Ounce and American Eagle Silver Bullion Coins. We will keep you informed when more information becomes available for the American Buffalo Bullion Coins. Thank you for your patience and your continued support of the United States Mint Bullion Coin Program. If you have any questions regarding this process, please contact me at (202) 354-7519.
10/24/2008 3:17:40 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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It was called Black Friday
Posted by Dave
You can tell what kind of mood I am in this morning. The financial markets don’t look good. There is nothing I can do about gold dropping under $700 an ounce or silver under $9 an ounce, except reflect on my experience and on history. I googled Black Friday. Interestingly, the first references deal with the first shopping day after Thanksgiving. That is not what I was looking for. I was looking for the real Black Friday. I did the search because many years ago when I was a student I read biographies of Jay Gould and Jim Fisk. They were partners in an effort to corner the gold supply in 1869. Friday Sept. 24, 1869, was the critical day of the attempt. It went down in Wall Street lore as Black Friday. The floating supply of gold in New York City on which so much of the nation’s finances rested was not that large. The Gould-Fisk effort to corner the market was brazen and very public. The value of the precious metal was set in trading in the Gold Room of the New York Stock Exchange. Imagine two people being able to threaten the integrity of the financial system. On Black Friday, Gould got wind of the fact that the U.S. Treasury would release gold into the market. He secretly reversed his positions, selling what he had accumulated and leaving his partner in the dark. Fisk very visibly kept trading and was loudly bullish until the avalanche of public gold overwhelmed him. Gould had left his partner to dangle because both could not get out of the market in one piece. Gould elected himself to be the surviving partner, though he later advised Fisk to renege on his commitments to buy gold. Fisk did. Many were ruined financially as a result. Who is playing Gould today and who is Fisk, I don’t know, but fortunes are being made and lost.
10/24/2008 9:10:07 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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