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 Tuesday, August 19, 2008
Why not just order?
Posted by dave
While certain individuals will be attempting to shake coins out of the Denver Mint on Monday, collectors will have the opportunity to get the new Alaska quarter the regular way. They can order rolls and bags from the U.S. Mint. Granted, it probably isn’t as much fun as levitating a building and shaking it, but getting Alaskan state quarters is still pretty interesting for us collectors. I like the design. I like the design a lot. The bear grabbing the salmon, or perhaps trout, says it all. Why can’t Wisconsin’s quarter have something that strong on it? After all, we have bears here. They can be annoying, but they are real. We also have trout. But we also have cows, cheese and corn here as well, so that is what we got on our coin when it was our turn in 2004. I have written a number of times that the Wisconsin design was chosen by a vote of the people of the state, so I can’t complain about the design on those grounds. But then I go and see a really good state quarter design and I am just envious. Nevada was a really good one, too. Fortunately, I can collect any of the other 49 designs that I want. But if I want the 49th state, that order period starts Aug. 25. Visit the Mint Web site at www.usmint.gov for details. If I still had the 49-star flag that I had when I was a kid, I would wave it. It’s Alaska’s turn.
8/19/2008 9:42:05 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Monday, August 18, 2008
Halloween in Denver?
Posted by dave
The Aug. 26 issue of Numismatic News ran a story by the Associated Press about protesters in Denver who during the final week in August are going to try to levitate the Mint there. Yes, I did a double take at the word “levitate” just to make sure I had read what I read. I did. I laughed. It got funnier. I was only 13 in 1968 so I guess I am seeing now what I missed out on back in the day. A group called Recreate 68 said it plans to surround the Mint on Aug. 25 in an attempt to levitate the one-square-block building and “shake the money out of it for the people.’’ Gosh, I had better get my wheelbarrow and get over there pronto. The story also said that the event is meant to commemorate an anti-Vietnam war protest in October 1967, when demonstrators sought to levitate the Pentagon. You remember that, don’t you? The big flying Pentagon? No? I don’t either, but then I was pretty preoccupied with coins that year. Maybe I missed it.
8/18/2008 9:02:06 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Friday, August 15, 2008
Keep the comments coming
Posted by dave
Fantastic. I am watching the comments multiply on my blog over the last couple of days. Keep them coming. I appreciate it. The benefits of a blog include some real time responses to real questions and I enjoy getting them. My blog is cross posted between the www.numismaticnews.net site and the Numismaster Web site. It is on the latter site that the Pat Heller weekly commentary on gold appears. Good, bad or indifferent, the traffic to his comments is high and the feedback on my blog helps to demonstrate why. All responses are being duly noted and discussed here in Iola.
8/15/2008 8:51:04 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Thursday, August 14, 2008
Don't be bashful about gold
Posted by Dave
Wasn’t it the old Dragnet TV series that said the names had been changed to protect the innocent? Well, gold bugs like a little screen between themselves and the rest of the world, too. Yesterday’s topic elicited an e-mail that I will show in part here. “After you and I spoke on this after Pat’s column about two months ago, both myself and a top gold, gold futures and gold equities analysis firm that I deal with agree that his opinions are ‘solid gold.’ Are his opinions likely to ruffle some feathers? Sure. But then there are still a lot of people in denial about the strength of U.S. banks, the U.S. stock market and the dollar. This is one more reason I plan to retire in Asia. “Give us more of Pat! Please feel free to share my thoughts with him.” Hey, I will share these thoughts with more than just Pat. They can kick off the discussion. I have to admit I was a little disappointed to see that no comments were posted below my comments yesterday on numismaticnews.net. Perhaps people are thinking about it. Perhaps it is simply a slow summertime period and they will think about that tomorrow, not unlike Scarlett O’Hara in Gone with the Wind. People who believe in gold don’t want to be reduced to wearing the drapes because they didn’t take precautions against inflation.
8/14/2008 8:52:41 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Wednesday, August 13, 2008
What should be in gold column?
Posted by Dave
I had a nice e-mail yesterday from somebody who considered Pat Heller’s weekly gold comments out of line. He said it was both a political column and it offered investment advice, neither of which, it was stated, belonged on a numismatic Web site. Because the e-mail was an expression of concern, I thought I would throw the topic out for readers to consider. Is it appropriate to publish information about the ongoing credit and banking crisis and its potential impact on the U.S. economy generally and the price of gold specifically? I am by nature an optimist, so I take gloom and doom pronouncements with a grain of salt. However, I don’t think anybody can reasonably dispute that the current credit crisis is the worst financial mess the country has been in at least since the savings and loan crisis of the late 1980s and early 1990s. The area of uncertainty is how this will impact the price of gold. Bad news doesn’t always make the price of gold go up any more than good news always makes it go down. As an editor of Numismatic News, I have always advocated buying gold in the form of collecting gold coins. That way, you can have fun, build up a nice collection, and incidentally have a quantity of the precious metal that serves as a hedge against unforeseen calamities. I know there are people who would rather cut right to the chase and buy pure bullion plays. They buy bullion coins from coin dealers. Is this activity a numismatic one or an investment one? It seems to me it is a bit of both. It is not possible to draw a fine line between the two. When Russ Rulau was editor of World Coin News in the 1970s, the joke was it was really World Gold News. But the topic was important to readers and the publication thrived. So this question of suitability recurs over the years. What’s your opinion?
8/13/2008 9:16:36 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Tuesday, August 12, 2008
I wouldn't want to price sets either
Posted by Dave
The bullion markets are moving too fast for the U.S. Mint to keep up with pricing. Platinum has been in almost free-fall and the platinum American Eagles, both proof and uncirculated, have been unavailable for many days. Law requires that prices be published in the Federal Register and this only slows thing down. Internally we can only guess at how many prices Mint staff members have considered and rejected as the decline continues. With automobile sales down, it is no surprise that platinum, which is used in catalytic converters, would sooner or later go down with them. A co-worker, Tom Michael, pointed out a very curious thing about bullion prices the other day. An ounce of platinum was 100 times the value of an ounce of silver. This morning, when I decided to write this, I checked the Kitco Web site and found platinum at $1,478 and silver at $14.78. How long this will continue is anybody’s guess. There are no historical relationships such as the one enjoyed by gold and silver, so this platinum-silver pricing relationship will simply last until it changes. Gold at $825 an ounce is down also, but it is not an industrial metal. Its price swings tend to be more constrained than either platinum or silver. That is because so many people own it and view it as a haven. It is also popular in jewelry so that demand helps even out the fluctuations.
8/12/2008 9:01:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Monday, August 11, 2008
Who is doing the buying?
Posted by dave
I was on Harry Rinker’s “Whatcha Got” radio program yesterday to talk about the 2009 editions of Coin Digest and North American Coins and Prices. We talked about gold and silver prices, his mother’s regular purchases of silver proof sets in the early 1960s, which he was pleased to see, had gone up in price, perhaps because the dime, quarter and half dollar on those pre-1965 sets are made of 90 percent silver alloy. When he wondered what was hot, I couldn’t help but mention Lincoln cents. Next year is the 100th anniversary of the coin and 200th anniversary of the birth of our 16th President. We will see four new collector designs and no matter what the price of gold and silver happen to do, there will be huge attention focused on their issuance. Time flies by on a radio program and my spot was less than 15 minutes. His final question was about foreign money and whether it was buying U.S. coins. I said that it was, that Russian and Chinese buyers had broadened out into American silver dollars as well as the historical coins of their homelands. That is worth thinking about. While there have been some active foreign buyers from time to time in the past, there has really never been a large foreign presence in the market for American coins before. It may never get to that stage of significance, but our globalized world may also sweep the American coin market into its scope.
8/11/2008 9:01:35 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Friday, August 08, 2008
Lucky day, lucky purchase?
Posted by Dave
Today is a very lucky day according to Cantonese-speaking Chinese. It is 8-8-08 and the word for eight sounds like words for "prosper" or "wealth," according to Mint Director Ed Moy, who was out on a visit to the San Francisco Mint Wednesday to promote sales of the sets. To mark the occasion, the U.S. Mint began selling a week ago what it calls a Double Prosperity Set that contains a half-ounce American Eagle and a half-ounce gold Buffalo coin. The set is housed in a handsome wooden display case. The price is $1,228.88. Even with the eights in the price tag, are gold buyers feeling lucky? I noticed this morning that the price is down to $858 a troy ounce, which is a six-month low despite the two eights in the price. Buyers of the Prosperity set will pay $370.88 over the raw cost of the gold as of today. That is a mark-up of 43 percent. Perhaps it would be wiser for individuals who want to take advantage of a gold buying opportunity to purchase the two coins individually from their friendly neighbhorhood bullion coin dealer for less money and keep the difference in price, or even buy a more convenient one-ounce coin instead. Of course, set buyers get a nice box. There is no question about that. There are even occasions in my experience where box prices can get crazy. An example I clearly remember was the wooden box for the six-coin Statue of Liberty Set in 1986. It was trading empty for a time for $100 in the months immediately after issue. Can collectors count on this box premium lasting over time? That is the dicey part. I wrote about the Constitution boxes in the trash barrel at the Baltimore American Numismatic Association convention yesterday. Those boxes clearly held no premium value. Persons who want to celebrate an auspicious day on the calendar can buy the set. But celebrating and investing are two different things. Investors who buy the set might not feel as lucky a few days, weeks or months down the road.
8/8/2008 9:01:24 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Thursday, August 07, 2008
Boxes not needed
Posted by dave
It is still a race to get this week’s Numismatic News out the door later today. I am finishing up the photo pages as soon as I finish this post. One interesting experience I had while I was at the American Numismatic Association convention in Baltimore was that I happened to look into the trash barrel in the aisle by the Krause table. The contents were almost uniformly blue. It was a blue I recognized as Mint boxes, so I looked closer. There I am, the editor of Numismatic News standing in the aisle in a crowd of people poking in a trash can. Nobody said anything. Perhaps nobody noticed. However, I had to find out what the boxes were. There were all for the 1987 Constitution $5 gold piece. That is the most common of the $5 commemoratives that have been struck since 1986 and it trades based solely on bullion value. Anybody who bought it at issue price suffered for years by watching its price decline. Now that gold is fluctuating around the $900-an-ounce mark, the coins are worth far more as metal than as a collector’s item. If the coins are heading off to a refinery, there is no need for boxes. So as was the case in 1980, mintages of precious metal coinage become ever more suspect. Will this change the common status of the coin? I doubt it. It will take a long while to get rid of a significant number of the more than 800,000 uncirculated and proofs that collectors eagerly snapped up. It is also a lesson about the value of original packaging. It can’t overcome the larger factors of underlying bullion value or collector demand.
8/7/2008 9:18:52 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Wednesday, August 06, 2008
I’m not ready for a beard
Posted by dave
 I met Honest Abe himself at the American Numismatic Association convention in Baltimore last week. It was quite an experience. The 16th President was spending time at the Whitman booth next to ours on the bourse floor. I couldn’t resist the opportunity to meet him. Dennis Tucker was kind enough to take a photo of the event. Mr. Lincoln asked me where I was from and I replied that I hailed from Wisconsin. He then launched into a story about his experience in the Black Hawk war in the state in 1832 and the fact that his horse was stolen and he had to walk all the way home to New Salem, Ill. Not bad. He asked me what I did for a living. I said that I was a journalist. Then followed another anecdote about a newspaper editor in 1864. I’m sold. I had so much fun with it that I personally introduced ANA Executive Director Larry Shepherd to him so I could get a photograph for Numismatic News. I couldn’t stay long, though, on either occasion. I had to get back to our booth, which was separated from Mr. Lincoln by the width of the entry point to the exhibit area. Perhaps subconsciously I admired the presidential beard. I rushed to work this morning, feeling somewhat behind where I want to be, in order to get all of the ANA material into this week’s paper. I discovered when I arrived at my desk that I had not shaved this morning. No wonder I got here 10 minutes early. Oh well. Instead of time saved, I am slightly more behind as I went back home, shaved and returned. Sure, my anecdotes can’t compete with Mr. Lincoln’s, but I can keep trying.
8/6/2008 12:06:48 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Tuesday, August 05, 2008
Winner on both sides of market
Posted by Dave
One lucky institution is benefiting from the recession. It is the U.S. Mint. In the inflation panic that started about this time last year gold and silver sales rode higher and higher on the back of rising bullion prices. Precious metals are supposed to be a hedge against inflation. A year later, the recession fears seem to be taking over and the prices of base metals are declining. This is important for the Mint because it lowers the costs of the metals it uses in its coinage. I have been writing for more than two years about the threat to the cent and the nickel because of the rising prices of the metals that go into them. The House of Representatives even acted earlier this year to mandate coated steel as a replacement for the current copper-coated zinc cent planchets and copper-nickel alloy planchets of the nickels. Well, guess what? The nickel is very nearly worth a nickel of metal again. I checked the Coinflation.com Web site and the 75 percent copper, 25 percent nickel alloy now has a melt value of 5.118 cents. This certainly removes any danger of anyone trying to illegally melt the coins. The price of nickel peaked at about $24 a pound in the spring of 2007 and the value of the metals took the content up to almost 10 cents a coin. The news is even better for the cent. It is now worth less than half its face value in metallic content, or .477 to be more precise. The Coinflation.com Web site is even more precise than that. Check it out at http://www.coinflation.com/ Zinc is roughly 80 cents a pound now and copper is $3.50. Gold and silver might get most of the collector headlines, but it pays to look at the base metals from time to time to understand what the Mint may be thinking. Bottom line: will these lower prices likely delay any changes in compositions? Probably. The Senate would need to act to press the coated-steel issue, but with everything else on its plate, why would it choose an issue that seems to be solving itself?
8/5/2008 9:03:02 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Monday, August 04, 2008
Back at my desk, oh my
Posted by Dave
The American Numismatic Association convention in Baltimore is over. I am back at my desk for the first time in over a week. I haven’t figured out just how far behind I am yet, though my telephone message light is flashing red and reads that there are eight messages for me. It was a great convention. It was not the best one ever, but it was good on several levels that we have not enjoyed for a while. Dealers were happy to be in a town known as a good place to do business. ANA members were pleased to see the problems of prior years being put behind them, so the political environment was relaxed rather than poisoned. One contentious issue, the location of the 2011 summer convention, was dealt with promptly. At the Professional Numismatists meeting one week ago today, the members let ANA board members and officials know that they thought Indianapolis, the site selected in March, was not a good place to be for business and travel security reasons. Their objections were given forcefully, but often with good humor. ANA Gov. Cliff Mishler responded to the gathered PNG members as did ANA President Barry Stuppler. The result was action was taken at the Friday ANA board meeting to reverse the previous board decision. Chicago now will be the 2011 convention location. One longtime dealer present at both meetings said this was the best ANA board he has seen in his professional career. Whether it is or isn’t the best board ever is less the point than the fact that business is getting done again without rancor and everyone can get on with convention activities that they all look forward to. Kudos to the Central States board for its generous donation to support this year’s Summer Seminar, which was held for two weeks in late June to early July. An outright donation of $50,000 was great. The challenge donation was inspired. Dealers and collectors quickly rose to meet it and came up with more than the needed $25,000, so CSNS matched $25,000. That means ANA collected over $100,000. It is necessary for an organization that is still running a large deficit. Kudos also to Larry Shepherd, the new ANA executive director. His public report was forthright and factual. Employee count is down from 36 to 29.5 due to retirements and natural attrition. Employee morale is up. This year’s deficit has been cut by one-third so far to just over $900,000. It is a large number to be sure, but it demonstrates a certain momentum that we all can hope will be sustained. That’s enough for today.
8/4/2008 8:58:03 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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