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 Tuesday, August 12, 2008
I wouldn't want to price sets either
Posted by Dave

The bullion markets are moving too fast for the U.S. Mint to keep up with pricing. Platinum has been in almost free-fall and the platinum American Eagles, both proof and uncirculated, have been unavailable for many days.

Law requires that prices be published in the Federal Register and this only slows thing down. Internally we can only guess at how many prices Mint staff members have considered and rejected as the decline continues.

With automobile sales down, it is no surprise that platinum, which is used in catalytic converters, would sooner or later go down with them.

A co-worker, Tom Michael, pointed out a very curious thing about bullion prices the other day. An ounce of platinum was 100 times the value of  an ounce of silver. This morning, when I decided to write this, I checked the Kitco Web site and found platinum at $1,478 and silver at $14.78. How long this will continue is anybody’s guess.

There are no historical relationships such as the one enjoyed by gold and silver, so this platinum-silver pricing relationship will simply last until it changes.

Gold at $825 an ounce is down also, but it is not an industrial metal. Its price swings tend to be more constrained than either platinum or silver. That is because so many people own it and view it as a haven. It is also popular in jewelry so that demand helps even out the fluctuations.



8/12/2008 9:01:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [1]
 Monday, August 11, 2008
Who is doing the buying?
Posted by dave


I was on Harry Rinker’s “Whatcha Got” radio program yesterday to talk about the 2009 editions of Coin Digest and North American Coins and Prices.

We talked about gold and silver prices, his mother’s regular purchases of silver proof sets in the early 1960s, which he was pleased to see, had gone up in price, perhaps because the dime, quarter and half dollar on those pre-1965 sets are made of 90 percent silver alloy.

When he wondered what was hot, I couldn’t help but mention Lincoln cents. Next year is the 100th anniversary of the coin and 200th anniversary of the birth of our 16th President. We will see four new collector designs and no matter what the price of gold and silver happen to do, there will be huge attention focused on their issuance.

Time flies by on a radio program and my spot was less than 15 minutes. His final question was about foreign money and whether it was buying U.S. coins. I said that it was, that Russian and Chinese buyers had broadened out into American silver dollars as well as the historical coins of their homelands.

That is worth thinking about. While there have been some active foreign buyers from time to time in the past, there has really never been a large foreign presence in the market for American coins before. It may never get to that stage of significance, but our globalized world may also  sweep the American coin market into its scope.



8/11/2008 9:01:35 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
 Friday, August 08, 2008
Lucky day, lucky purchase?
Posted by Dave

Today is a very lucky day according to Cantonese-speaking Chinese. It is 8-8-08 and the word for eight sounds like words for "prosper" or "wealth," according to Mint Director Ed Moy, who was out on a visit to the San Francisco Mint Wednesday to promote sales of the sets.

To mark the occasion, the U.S. Mint began selling a week ago what it calls a Double Prosperity Set that contains a half-ounce American Eagle and a half-ounce gold Buffalo coin. The set is housed in a handsome wooden display case. The price is $1,228.88.

Even with the eights in the price tag, are gold buyers feeling lucky? I noticed this morning that the price is down to $858 a troy ounce, which is a six-month low despite the two eights in the price.

Buyers of the Prosperity set will pay $370.88 over the raw cost of the gold as of today. That is a mark-up of 43 percent.

Perhaps it would be wiser for individuals who want to take advantage of a gold buying opportunity to purchase the two coins individually from their friendly neighbhorhood bullion coin dealer for less money and keep the difference in price, or even buy a more convenient one-ounce coin instead.

Of course, set buyers get a nice box. There is no question about that. There are even occasions in my experience where box prices can get crazy. An example I clearly remember was the wooden box for the six-coin Statue of Liberty Set in 1986. It was trading empty for a time for $100 in the months immediately after issue.

Can collectors count on this box premium lasting over time? That is the dicey part. I wrote about the Constitution boxes in the trash barrel at the Baltimore American Numismatic Association convention yesterday. Those boxes clearly held no premium value.

Persons who want to celebrate an auspicious day on the calendar can buy the set. But celebrating and investing are two different things. Investors who buy the set might not feel as lucky a few days, weeks or months down the road.
 



8/8/2008 9:01:24 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [2]
 Thursday, August 07, 2008
Boxes not needed
Posted by dave

It is still a race to get this week’s Numismatic News out the door later today. I am finishing up the photo pages as soon as I finish this post.

One interesting experience I had while I was at the American Numismatic Association convention in Baltimore was that I happened to look into the trash barrel in the aisle by the Krause table. The contents were almost uniformly blue. It was a blue I recognized as Mint boxes, so I looked closer.

There I am, the editor of Numismatic News standing in the aisle in a crowd of people poking in a trash can. Nobody said anything. Perhaps nobody noticed.

However, I had to find out what the boxes were. There were all for the 1987 Constitution $5 gold piece. That is the most common of the $5 commemoratives that have been struck since 1986 and it trades based solely on bullion value.

Anybody who bought it at issue price suffered for years by watching its price decline. Now that gold is fluctuating around the $900-an-ounce mark, the coins are worth far more as metal than as a collector’s item.

If the coins are heading off to a refinery, there is no need for boxes. So as was the case in 1980, mintages of precious metal coinage become ever more suspect.

Will this change the common status of the coin? I doubt it. It will take a long while to get rid of a significant number of the more than 800,000 uncirculated and proofs that collectors eagerly snapped up.

It is also a lesson about the value of original packaging. It can’t overcome the larger factors of underlying bullion value or collector demand.



8/7/2008 9:18:52 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [1]
 Wednesday, August 06, 2008
I’m not ready for a beard
Posted by dave

Abe-Harper_3-converted.jpgI met Honest Abe himself at the American Numismatic Association convention in Baltimore last week. It was quite an experience.

The 16th President was spending time at the Whitman booth next to ours on the bourse floor. I couldn’t resist the opportunity to meet him. Dennis Tucker was kind enough to take a photo of the event.

Mr. Lincoln asked me where I was from and I replied that I hailed from Wisconsin. He then launched into a story about his experience in the Black Hawk war in the state in 1832 and the fact that his horse was stolen and he had to walk all the way home to New Salem, Ill.

Not bad.

He asked me what I did for a living. I said that I was a journalist. Then followed another anecdote about a newspaper editor in 1864.

I’m sold.

I had so much fun with it that I personally introduced ANA Executive Director Larry Shepherd to him so I could get a photograph for Numismatic News.

I couldn’t stay long, though, on either occasion. I had to get back to our booth, which was separated from Mr. Lincoln by the width of the entry point to the exhibit area.

Perhaps subconsciously I admired the presidential beard. I rushed to work this morning, feeling somewhat behind where I want to be, in order to get all of the ANA material into this week’s paper. I discovered when I arrived at my desk that I had not shaved this morning. No wonder I got here 10 minutes early.

Oh well.

Instead of time saved, I am slightly more behind as I went back home, shaved and returned.

Sure, my anecdotes can’t compete with Mr. Lincoln’s, but I can keep trying.



8/6/2008 12:06:48 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
 Tuesday, August 05, 2008
Winner on both sides of market
Posted by Dave

One lucky institution is benefiting from the recession. It is the U.S. Mint. In the inflation panic that started about this time last year gold and silver sales rode higher and higher on the back of rising bullion prices.

Precious metals are supposed to be a hedge against inflation.

A year later, the recession fears seem to be taking over and the prices of base metals are declining. This is important for the Mint because it lowers the costs of the metals it uses in its coinage.

I have been writing for more than two years about the threat to the cent and the nickel because of the rising prices of the metals that go into them. The House of Representatives even acted earlier this year to mandate coated steel as a replacement for the current copper-coated zinc cent planchets and copper-nickel alloy planchets of the nickels.

Well, guess what? The nickel is very nearly worth a nickel of metal again. I checked the Coinflation.com Web site and the 75 percent copper, 25 percent nickel alloy now has a melt value of 5.118 cents. This certainly removes any danger of anyone trying to illegally melt the coins. The price of nickel peaked at about $24 a pound in the spring of 2007 and the value of the metals took the content up to almost 10 cents a coin.

The news is even better for the cent. It is now worth less than half its face value in metallic content, or .477 to be more precise.

The Coinflation.com Web site is even more precise than that. Check it out at http://www.coinflation.com/ Zinc is roughly 80 cents a pound now and copper is $3.50.

Gold and silver might get most of the collector headlines, but it pays to look at the base metals from time to time to understand what the Mint may be thinking.

Bottom line: will these lower prices likely delay any changes in compositions? Probably. The Senate would need to act to press the coated-steel issue, but with everything else on its plate, why would it choose an issue that seems to be solving itself?




8/5/2008 9:03:02 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [1]
 Monday, August 04, 2008
Back at my desk, oh my
Posted by Dave

The American Numismatic Association convention in Baltimore is over. I am back at my desk for the first time in over a week. I haven’t figured out just how far behind I am yet, though my telephone message light is flashing red and reads that there are eight messages for me.

It was a great convention. It was not the best one ever, but it was good on several levels that we have not enjoyed for a while.

Dealers were happy to be in a town known as a good place to do business. ANA members were pleased to see the problems of prior years being put behind them, so the political environment was relaxed rather than poisoned.

One contentious issue, the location of the 2011 summer convention, was dealt with promptly. At the Professional Numismatists meeting one week ago today, the members let ANA board members and officials know that they thought Indianapolis, the site selected in March, was not a good place to be for business and travel security reasons. Their objections were given forcefully, but often with good humor.

ANA Gov. Cliff Mishler responded to the gathered PNG members as did ANA President Barry Stuppler. The result was action was taken at the Friday ANA board meeting to reverse the previous board decision. Chicago now will be the 2011 convention location.

One longtime dealer present at both meetings said this was the best ANA board he has seen in his professional career.

Whether it is or isn’t the best board ever is less the point than the fact that business is getting done again without rancor and everyone can get on with convention activities that they all look forward to.

Kudos to the Central States board for its generous donation to support this year’s Summer Seminar, which was held for two weeks in late June to early July.

An outright donation of $50,000 was great. The challenge donation was inspired. Dealers and collectors quickly rose to meet it and came up with more than the needed $25,000, so CSNS matched $25,000. That means ANA collected over $100,000. It is necessary for an organization that is still running a large deficit.

Kudos also to Larry Shepherd, the new ANA executive director. His public report was forthright and factual. Employee count is down from 36 to 29.5 due to retirements and natural attrition. Employee morale is up. This year’s deficit has been cut by one-third so far to just over $900,000. It is a large number to be sure, but it demonstrates a certain momentum that we all can hope will be sustained.
That’s enough for today.



8/4/2008 8:58:03 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [1]
 Friday, August 01, 2008
Good art? Bad Art? Process better
Posted by dave

Is it really Friday? Convention events make time just fly by. Since the ribbon was cut Wednesday morning, it has been just an incredibly hectic show for me.

The Mint came up with an unveiling of the ultra-high-relief double eagle Wednesday. This was the first opportunity for collectors to see the new coin. Next year they will be able to buy one. Back in 1907 Theodore Roosevelt wanted coins of this kind of be used again just as in ancient Greece. That proved to be impractical because the ancient Greeks didn’t have banks with marble counter tops that required gold coins to stack neatly.

So, next year, 102 years after the first attempt at fulfilling Roosevelt’s dream, will come a second act. The coins still won’t circulate, but collectors will certainly appreciate the artistic qualities of a coin that has the depth of a medal rather than the nearly flat surfaces of a coin.

This is kind of a roundabout way of getting to the meeting of the Citizens Coin Advisory Committee at 9 a.m. today. This body helps the Mint sort good ideas from bad. It is part of the recognition that has been given in recent years to the artistic qualities of coinage.

We don’t know what Roosevelt would make of today’s coin art. Would he consider it something worthy of the ancient Greeks? I don’t know. But I expect he would approve of the importance that is being attached by the government to the artistic factors that he considered so important for American coinage. As a politician, he also would have loved to know how many times his name has come up this week.



8/1/2008 9:04:52 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [1]
 Thursday, July 31, 2008
Ambassador Award gets makeover
Posted by dave

Today at 8 a.m. is the Numismatic News Numismatic Ambassador breakfast in Baltimore. A group of approximately 100 Numismatic Ambassadors and spouses or guests, have a chance to break bread together and catch up with each other.

Part of the catching up will be information that I will provide about changes that are afoot.

Since the first award was given to Charlie Colver in 1974 in California, the award has been given to recipients at various conventions and club meetings by members of the Numismatic News staff.

I myself happened to give two awards in March at the Mansfield Numismatic Society annual show in Willimantic, Conn. One of the recipients, C. John Ferreri, is the founder of the show and it was thought appropriate that he should be recognized among his peers there.  Tom Rockwell, an active hobbyist with Boston area clubs, was also attending. He got the other award I had that day.

This morning this method changes. Because of the escalating costs of travel, winners from this point forward will be announced annually at the Ambassador breakfast.

Five new names were added to the roster this morning, bringing the 2008 total to eight.

Honored this morning were M. Remy Bourne, former American Numismatic Association governor; Jeff C. Garrett, immediate past president of the Professional Numismatists Guild; Lawrence Gaye, a tireless worker for the ANA, whose duties included chairing the 2004 Portland, Ore., convention; James W. Hunt, a hobby stalwart in California, and Bob Hurst, the current president of Florida United Numismatists.

Holders of Ambassador Awards vote on each annual slate of award recipients. A ballot is prepared and the top vote getters receive the award.

In case you are counting, the eighth recipient this year was Myrna Lighterman, whom I had the pleasure of surprising with the award back in January at the FUN convention, where she has left her mark as a tireless volunteer.

Congratulations to all.



7/31/2008 10:27:37 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
 Wednesday, July 30, 2008
PNG gives awards
Posted by dave

Last night at the Professional Numismatists Guild dinner, John Dannreuther of Memphis was given the Lifetime Achievement Award.

I was interested to discover that he has been a PNG member for 30 years, the same number of years that I have been on the staff at Krause Publications. I couldn’t remember a time when he was not active, and now I know why.

Dannreuther was recognized as one of the founders of the Professional Coin Grading Service. Most people think of David Hall first, and that is fair, but Hall could not have done everything alone.

In addition to awards, Patti Finner took a few minutes to tell the assembled guests that she was a candidate for president of the American Numismatic Association in next year’s election. She is now the first declared candidate for any elective position in the 2009 election.

Another award, the Abe Kosoff Award, was given to Mark Salzberg, the CEO of Numismatic Guaranty Corp., the second of the two major grading services in both time and chronology (ANACS, though older, was founded as an adjunct to the American Numismatic Association.)

The two commercial services became the first of a number of businesses set up to grade coins.

PCGS was the first to encapsulate  coins in what are called slabs. This was in contrast to ANACS holders, which were not sealed shut. ANACS coins were also photographed.

The Art Kagin Numismatic Ambassador Award was given to John McCloskey. Anthony Swiatek was given a Significant Achievement Award.

Michael F. Moran was recognized with the Robert Friedberg Award for his book, Striking Change: The Great Artistic Collaboration of Theodore Roosevelt and August Saint-Gaudens.



7/30/2008 9:12:15 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
 Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Former co-worker visits show
Posted by dave



Today is Professional Numismatists Guild Day. I am fresher than I was yesterday (read “awake” here). I was able to have a nice visit with Chris Batio last night. He used to work on staff of Numismatic News. He arrived at the convention at supper time.

It has been a number of years since I have seen Chris. He is very interested in politics. That topic naturally came up.

I remember well the 1992 election year. It was a time when he and I had numerous discussions about the presidential race.

I’m still in Iola. Chris went on to other jobs and is now working in Washington, D.C., which is a perfect location for someone as interested in political events as he is.

Today I should have a great opportunity to walk the bourse floor and do some radio interviews for Coin Chat Radio today.

Later on, PNG Day ends and it becomes set-up time for the Krause booth. I expect Bob Van Ryzin, George Cuhaj, Robbie Cain and Debbie Tischendorf will make it in by that point to give me a hand. More importantly, either Bob or George will possess the diagram as to how things are supposed to be arranged. It wasn’t ready when I left.



7/29/2008 9:39:05 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [0]
 Monday, July 28, 2008
Baltimore dominates this week
Posted by dave

The start to my day came jarringly soon. I had a 6 a.m. flight to Baltimore to attend the American Numismatic Association’s summer convention, which is called the World’s Fair of Money.

My day’s schedule was constructed a couple of months ago when it was time to buy an airline ticket at a reasonable price. Sometimes the ANA board meets in open session on Monday. Sometimes it does not. I had to make a guess. I lost.

This turned out to be one of the years it will not meet in open session today. The entire day is taken up in closed session.

On the other hand, this gives me the opportunity to scope things out early and especially to attend a meeting of the Professional Numismatists Guild at 4 p.m. I am an associate member, but usually I am not around early enough in a convention to attend its meetings. This time it worked out.

That is the nature of an ANA convention. You may plan, but events take over and you make adjustments.



7/28/2008 9:12:21 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #  Comments [1]