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 Thursday, November 01, 2007
Mint buyers get second chance
Posted by Dave
When the eBay posse buys a new Mint issue, but guesses wrong about how the secondary market will price the new coin or sets, they would dearly love to get a “do over.” Well, now there is a “do over” being offered by the U.S. Mint for a small number of one particular issue that collectors bought in 2004. The Lewis and Clark Coin and Pouch sets featured a proof example of the commemorative silver dollar that marked the 200th anniversary of the famous Western exploration expedition that occurred 1804-1806 at the urging of President Thomas Jefferson. It was a clever idea to bring in American Indian handicrafts. The issue price of the set was $120. It hit me as steep at the time and I steered clear of it personally, but it was a sellout item. Nowadays, the sets change hands for below issue price, so those collectors who own them probably wouldn’t mind an opportunity to return the sets for a full refund plus $10 for shipping and insurance. Most of the sets produced in 2004 are not eligible for return, just those produced by the Shawnee Nation United Remnant Band of Ohio, which apparently the Mint just learned is not a federally recognized tribe, nor is it recognized by state authorities, either. It is a fine thing for the Mint to offer this opportunity for a refund. Owners of the sets get their “do over” and get to use the money to purchase something else. To be eligible, the buyers’ Certificates of Authenticity need to specifically refer to the remnant band by name. Lucky them. I’ve had to wait almost 25 years for the rising price of gold to bail me out of my proof and uncirculated 1984-W Olympic $10 gold pieces. If you happen to be one of the set owners who will take advantage of the refund, let me know. Register your comments here or send me an e-mail at david.harper@fwpubs.com.
11/1/2007 8:54:07 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Wednesday, October 31, 2007
You want me to wear what?
Posted by Dave
For some reason, the ad department staff thought it would be cute to dress up for Halloween today, or in this case, undress. The word went out yesterday that they were dressing in pajamas and curlers and walking around with stuffed animals. We on the editorial staff were encouraged to join the pajama theme. Sorry, no can do. I don’t own a decent pair of pajamas. I am not going to walk around the office in boxer shorts and a t-shirt. The last time I had a stuffed animal, it was a dog and I was about four years old. I haven’t seen it since. The parting must have been traumatic because I ended up throwing my life away as Numismatic News editor. You would think I couldn’t get over the infatuation with coins formed when I was 8 years old and have been prevented from growing up to be a happy, healthy and productive adult. Here I am 44 years later writing about wearing pajamas in the office all day. Sounds like I’m a supporting actor in a Bette Davis movie. Some of my relatives always thought my interest in coins was a little odd. I would be handing them proof, the smoking gun. Fortunately for me, I am not a party pooper. Well, maybe I am, but that’s another story. I have an excuse. I had a dental appointment first thing this morning. I had to dress normally so they don’t call the police and haul me off for evaluation. So what did I do? I brought some treats. I am sure my dentist will like the added business. Happy Halloween.
10/31/2007 9:04:26 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Tuesday, October 30, 2007
Anybody out there?
Posted by Dave
Yesterday in the office we had a reminder of how fragile our modern technology and the work systems that are based on them are. In a community a dozen or so miles west of here a cable was inadvertently cut and our telephone and Internet connections were eliminated. In one way, it was a delightful afternoon for me after the noontime mishap. I took precisely one phone call. How that got through, I don’t know. I appreciated the quietness. My desk isn’t like a Wall Street trading desk, but some days it seems that way. The lack of an Internet connection would occasionally intrude on my thoughts when I would think that I should check on this or that, or look something up. I had plenty to do. There were stories to assign, write and edit. There were photographs to process. There were pages in the gift guide to check. They leave for the printer, electronically of course, later today. My work flow went along. The ad staff was hit much harder. How do you sell an ad if you cannot talk to an advertiser? How can you e-mail files? Their ability to do anything productive runs down more quickly than mine. For the Standard Catalog staff, it was even worse. The database is Internet based. They were cut off. As long as my mind is working, I have work. I can even write a story by candlelight if it comes to that. It is not very efficient, but it can get the job done in a pinch. If you are reading this, the crisis obviously has passed. The disconnection is a reminder, though, that not everything works perfectly. Only the weather was perfect yesterday. Today it will be as well. Then the cold moves in to remind me that it isn’t so bad working indoors even with an occasional problem of the kind we experienced yesterday.
10/30/2007 8:54:42 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Monday, October 29, 2007
Did someone quit saving state quarters?
Posted by Dave
Are people who saved state quarters when the program began beginning to spend them? I am moved to ask that question because of a state quarter I received in my change on Friday. The coin is a beautiful BU Pennsylvania quarter. That used to be one of the designs that traded for a premium price on the roll market, so I am not used to seeing too many of them in my change, though I have from time to time run across an example that definitely showed wear from some circulation. Just as one swallow doesn’t make a summer, one Pennsylvania quarter doesn’t mean collectors or hoarders or souvenir hunters have decided as a group to give up. But this is a good time to speculate. We are concluding the ninth year of the state quarter program. The Utah quarter will be released Nov. 5. There is just one year and five designs to go after that. Nine years is a long time in human affairs. Age, changing interests and perhaps life events like stress over a mortgage payment can put coins that had once been prized possessions into circulation. Because of their massive mintages of many times the annual production numbers that prevailed before the start of the quarter program, migration of state quarters from the hands of savers to spenders could have a major effect on the number of quarters the Mint needs to strike in future years. It is too early to declare it a fact, so I will keep watching, but the post-Civil War period is on my mind. Mintages in the 1880s declined sharply because huge numbers of coins that had been hoarded and sent to Canada during the Civil War found their way back to daily use after the United States successfully extinguished the inflation and by 1879 had once again made all forms of U.S. currency equivalent in value. There were no longer premiums for gold coins or silver coins or gold-backed paper money. It became one big interchangeable mass. There are enough state quarters out there to have a similar national impact. The question is will they? What are you seeing in your change? E-mail me at david.harper@fwpubs.com.
10/29/2007 9:04:07 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Friday, October 26, 2007
Sellout or mellow out?
Posted by Dave
The American Legacy Set went on sale yesterday on the Mint Web site at noon Eastern Daylight Time. Surprised? I was. It was not listed on the Mint’s schedule of future offerings. Word was a while ago that it was coming out in the autumn. I have a handy spot already labeled American Legacy Set in the Commemorative Coins box on the Mint Statistics page in Numismatic News. If the set sells out its 50,000 maximum in a day or two, the lack of advance word would be either unfortunate or unnecessary, depending on your point of view. If you are the Mint, busily cashing checks and making credit card account transfers, a sellout would ratify events the way they happened. If you are a Numismatic News reader, you might be miffed there wasn’t much said about it. We will see how it plays out. Would-be buyers navigating the Mint Web site will find out that the set contains a full U.S. proof set, which includes the five state quarters, four Presidential dollars, Sacagawea dollar, half dollar, dime, nickel and cent. The set also includes a proof Little Rock silver dollar and a proof Jamestown silver dollar. The price of $135 might give you a little pause and spur you to make a back-of-the envelope calculation. I did the math. You can buy the proof set for $26.95, and the silver dollars for $39 each, making a grand total of $104.95, when the pieces are ordered separately. Is the extra cardboard packaging material worth $20.05? It might be if you figure you can turn the set around on eBay. But an ordinary collector might balk, especially with winter heating season coming up. How will it turn out? Make your decision to order or not to order and then let’s watch.
10/26/2007 8:51:33 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Thursday, October 25, 2007
Surprise! Some clad quarters are valuable
Posted by Dave
Many of my readers watch their change. I do, too. The day before yesterday in the course of my daily routine I received five quarters in my change. I took a look at them. What caught my eye were two of them. One is a 1982-P. The other is a 1983-P. Both of these coins tell a story of what might have been. Their mintages don’t tell the full story. The 1982-P has a mintage of 500,931,000. The 1983-P has a mintage of 673,535,000. Both are indicative of common coins. The two coins in my possession definitely are common. The 1982-P is better than the 1983-P. It probably grades AU-50. The 1983-P spent some time in a casino. The edge is nearly smooth as the reeds were worn away in the slot machines and coin counters. I wouldn’t want to grade it because there are so many hairlines and contact marks that the surface is anything but original or pleasing to look at. But what if I had saved a roll of each of these back when they were new issues? The Coin Market price guide says the uncirculated 1983-P roll of 40 is $1,500, or $37.50 for each coin. The 1982-P is $220, or $5.50 each. Neither price is a bad return on investment. Imagine what an MS-65, -66 or -67 could bring. Why are they so valuable? The reason is that the U.S. Mint did not produce uncirculated coin sets, popularly called mint sets, in either year and hobby habit from the 1960s of saving roll or bag quantities of coins had pretty much died out. The result is that anyone trying to put an uncirculated quarter set together has to work a bit to find examples of 1982-P and 1983-P quarters. I don’t think the collectors of those years believed that today’s prices could be possible with such high mintages, but then that scepticism is what kept me and millions of others from saving them in any quantity. In the end, that’s what makes a coin valuable. If you still have the Numismatic News subscription premium from those years, which were uncirculated sets that we assembled privately, take a look at those quarters. You might want to get them out of your junk drawer.
10/25/2007 9:03:39 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Wednesday, October 24, 2007
Funny or heartless?
Posted by Dave
I was reading my mail yesterday when I burst out laughing. It was loud enough that my co-workers looked up and wondered what the joke was. I did seem to be having a merry time of it. What I was reading was a reply card that said this: “Yes, I want to help American Numismatic Association instill the passion of numismatics for those less fortunate.” Am I some sort of Scrooge? Do I say “Humbug” when someone wishes me “Merry Christmas?” No that is not me. What I found funny was the idea that any of us who are engaged in coin collecting can somehow be called the less fortunate. I have always considered collectors the most fortunate people. The ANA mailing was seeking donations toward a worthy goal of providing more scholarships to Young Numismatists for the annual Summer Seminar. That is indeed a worthy goal, but I cannot get past the initial few words that I read. Words matter in my business. I have been chewed out in letters about stories that call “proof” a grade rather than a method of manufacture. I think I would respond better to an appeal that would ask for help in opening doors to greater opportunity to fulfill a drive for numismatic knowledge that we all share. Sure, that would imply that any collectors no matter what their circumstances already had opportunities, but I think that more closely fits the reality of collecting and our self image. I may be out there on a limb all by myself in this view, but I wanted to ask, “What’s next? Taking up a collection so someone can buy a 1913 Liberty Head nickel he couldn’t otherwise afford?” I’ll volunteer for that.
10/24/2007 9:02:04 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Tuesday, October 23, 2007
Give the power of knowledge
Posted by Dave
Retail stores aren’t the only places where it is already Christmas. Here we are preparing our holiday gift guide that will be inserted in futures issues of Numismatic News, World Coin News and Bank Note Reporter. The difference is what we are doing here in the office is known to just a few of us while the retail business is known to virtually everyone. We are simply planning ahead for issues that carry the December cover dates. Now that I have you thinking about the holidays, do you dare give a hobby-related gift? It is a challenge. Even when it involves one collector giving something to a collecting child or grandchild, there can be false steps. Noncollectors may think we collectors are all the same, but we know better. That means finding something that can have the widest possible appeal. Let me suggest books. We all know that many collectors are reluctant to spend money on books when it seems it could be better used buying coins. Take that seductive thought out of the equation. Give a book. The recipient will be grateful and he or she will never have had to go through the agony of thinking the book somehow took the place of a more desirable coin. Yes, this is a backdoor way of achieving a goal that shouldn’t have to be undertaken indirectly. But books are like vegetables. Those who consume them are better off for it. Never has knowledge been more important. The Internet offers so many collectors more numerous opportunities to make mistakes. Books can help shorten the learning curve. You may know that the 1804 dollar offered online can’t possibly be real, but the less educated with the question of how you can know can be answered pre-emptively without that potential for making the questioner feel silly or awkward. Knowledge is power. Consider sharing yours with someone by giving them a book.
10/23/2007 8:55:43 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Monday, October 22, 2007
Watch silver and base metals
Posted by Dave
Halloween won’t occur until next Wednesday, according to my wall calendar, but for the financial markets, the time for seeing scary figures seems to have been Friday. Moreover, the holiday may have an extended run on Wall Street. We will find that out today. Friday was the 20th anniversary of the 1987 stock market crash. In one day, the market fell more than 20 percent. The significance of that day wasn’t what happened, but what didn’t happen. The U.S. and the world did not plunge into depression. It took a couple more years, a saving and loan crisis and a war in Kuwait to put the economy into reverse. The coin market also didn’t take notice of the Wall Street mayhem. The boom in slabbed silver dollars was in full force. Grading services were in their infancy then and the volume of coins going to PCGS and NGC was so huge that anybody who could grade that went to work for the services made a bundle, too. Like the larger economy, it took another couple of years for the silver dollar boom to play itself out. What about gold? It hardly budged. On Oct. 19, 1987, it was $481.70 a troy ounce. On Dec. 31, it was $486.20. For silver, the crash was a decided negative. It went from $8.19 an ounce to $6.68. When the crash came in 1987, I had already written an editorial about the effect of rising base metals prices on U.S. coinage. After the crash, it was a worthless topic because the base metals reversed course as silver did. I had to do a rewrite that completely reversed its meaning. I don’t know what the markets will do today, but I will be keenly watching silver and the base metals.
10/22/2007 8:57:15 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Friday, October 19, 2007
Not a bad place to start
Posted by Dave
The 40-page Coin Market price guide section of Numismatic News goes to press later today. Rising prices of gold, silver and platinum are pushing up prices for all sorts of coins, from the scuzziest pre-1965 quarter to the finest of proofs. Longtime readers might be interested to know that any silver coin is worth approximately 10 times face value. That makes an easy calculation. A dime is a dollar, a quarter $2.50 and a half dollar is $5. This is approximate because of the daily price fluctuation. At yesterday’s close of $13.711 per troy ounce, it actually works out to a fraction more than 9.91 times face. The old Morgan and Peace silver dollars were not struck to the same weight standard as those other silver coins. They weigh in at 0.7734 troy ounces of actual silver weight. A dollar face value of the other coins adds up to 0.7234 troy ounces. The dealer rule of thumb calls the 0.7234 number 0.715, or 715 ounces per $1,000 face value, to account for wear. That makes the multiple 9.8 times face value. Whatever you want to call it, as high as silver is, collectors with memories of 1980 might consider silver a laggard this time around. The present price is far from the $50 peak while gold is less than $100 from its old peak of $850 a troy ounce. Will silver catch up? It could spurt a little, but it must be remembered that a good deal of silver’s price in 1980 was due to an attempted corner of the market led by Nelson Bunker Hunt. Without that factor, the 1980 high might have been significantly lower, perhaps somewhere near where the price is now. Ten times face value, though, is a nice floor to any collector’s worth. That doesn’t mean they wouldn’t be happy to get more. We’ll see.
10/19/2007 8:57:36 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Thursday, October 18, 2007
Thoughts scatter on return to office
Posted by Dave
My return trip from Colorado Springs, Colo., yesterday was uneventful and on time. I got back to Iola about 8:30 last night. Considering the headlines about airlines in newspapers lately, I feel fortunate. The sunny weather of Colorado has given way for me to the gloom and rain of Iola. The office is kind of empty. Our antiques group has borrowed numismatic personnel to help staff our Atlantique City show out in New Jersey. The misspelling of “Atlantic” is a deliberate play on “antique.” I also had the usual pile of snail mail waiting for me. The clock ticks even when I am not here. E-mail I have not yet even glanced at. The blog comes first. I see the Mint has made progress. The uncirculated “W” Gold American Eagle coins are back on sale with new and higher prices. The one-ounce piece is $831.95, a premium of almost $75 to current gold bullion value. The proof gold American Eagles and the uncirculated “W” platinum American Eagles remain off sale. Today I will focus on pricing of another kind as the Coin Market section gets ready to go to press tomorrow. The 40-page monthly section will be bound into the Nov. 6 issue of Numismatic News, which goes to press a week from today. Harry Miller is staying busy keeping up with the changing prices. After that comes the holiday gift guide section. Yes, the holidays are coming. It doesn’t seem possible.
10/18/2007 9:00:55 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Wednesday, October 17, 2007
But what would Walter say?
Posted by dave
For a little over an hour yesterday, I was taking notes as fast as my hands could move my pen across my note pad. The American Numismatic Association announced its decision to fire executive director Christopher Cipoletti. I was attending the public portion of the board meeting. At that point, I want to yell, “Stop. That’s enough. I have this week’s front page.” But for the ANA board of governors, they had a large number of other tasks at hand during this first meeting where everyone is together since the Milwaukee, Wis., convention in August. They had to provide that information also. I ended up filing three stories with the office. One was about the firing and the task of finding a new executive director. A second story was about other business. If not for being in the shadow of the firing, the other business would have been the front page material. The ANA canceled the San Francisco museum project, which would have put a 7,800 square foot ANA museum in the Old San Francisco Mint. This follows an Oct. 2 decision to cancel the Washington museum plans. Now only a possible enlargement of the Colorado Springs, Colo., museum is still under active consideration, but that could bite the dust too for lack of funds. What I didn’t get to do was talk to Walter Ostromecki to find out how it feels to see this day come. He was removed as a member of the board of governors just two years ago at the October board sessions. Many ANA members were outraged and they had their way when they voted to return him to office in this year’s election. My third story was about Walter’s emergency kidney stone surgery in Colorado Springs. I am told he is OK. Three stories are not a bad afternoon’s work.
10/17/2007 9:22:56 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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