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 Tuesday, October 09, 2007
What's that the Mint is selling?
Posted by Dave
At noon Eastern Daylight Time today the U.S. Mint will begin selling mint sets. It is not a major event when considered in the light of the excitement over First Spouse gold coins and special anniversary sets, but it is an annual bread-and-butter issue that many collectors count on to round out their collections with coins that they cannot get in circulation. The level of interest is high if not frenzied, because I will receive letters telling me when readers get delivery and what they find inside. Will Denver coins be better quality than Philadelphia, or will it be the other way around this year? Will there be interest in the Sacagawea dollar, which has been overshadowed by the Presidential dollar? We’ll see. Bags and rolls of the Sac dollars have been available for some time, but the quantities issued so far are small compared to the law mandating the Mint strike quantities that equal one-third of the total of Presidential dollars struck. Two thoughts cross my mind with the set’s release. The first one is from the collector in me. I will buy a set. The second thought is the editor in me. Every year in recent years we have the jargon problem. In collector parlance a mint set is simply a set of uncirculated coins from all of the mints striking them in a given year. This year we get a nice run of “P” and “D” coins. In years past, there could be “S” mints included. Technically, a mint set can be assembled by either the U.S. Mint or a private firm. The term applies equally to both. In recent years, the Mint has registered its own name for the set and it is a mouthful: “2007 United States Mint Uncirculated Coin Set.” This term can only be used in reference to the official set created and packaged by the U.S. Mint. In stories that I write, first reference will be the mouthful followed by the much shorter “mint set.” The use of shorter terms is a necessity or no one would ever read a story, but I know there can be confusion. That will always happen, but I feel better having offered this explanation at the beginning of the sales period.
10/9/2007 9:02:31 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Monday, October 08, 2007
No anniversary without readers
Posted by Dave
When an issue of Numismatic News goes to press, I get an incredible feeling of satisfaction. Everything that I could do is done. There is a paper full of all sorts of information that is important that week. Then it is time to erase the slate and start again. Some deadlines, though, are a little more challenging than others. The 55th anniversary issue of Numismatic News goes to press later today. It is 120 pages huge. I would like to thank all of the many individuals who shared their memories with us to make this special issue possible. It is not a typical issue. It was not produced in a typical manner. With the larger reader input, the content goes where the readers want it to go. Some things I would have done without their help. Some things would never have occurred to me and I find myself thinking that this or that is a clever idea. It is a learning experience all the way around. I hope you enjoy it when you receive it in the mail. The cover date is Oct. 13, the date of that first issue back in 1952, which went into the mail almost three years before I was born. To be celebrating such an anniversary, is a milestone. It could not have been achieved without readers. Thanks to one and all. Let’s join up again for the 60th.
10/8/2007 8:52:06 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Friday, October 05, 2007
Satire or smear?
Posted by Dave
Satire is a difficult thing to pull off, especially in the pages of Numismatic News. A letter that appeared in the Oct. 9 issue elicited an e-mail to me yesterday that angrily labeled it a smear. I thought the letter complained of was funny. It arrived in response to another letter that appeared in the Sept. 4 issue saying President Franklin Delano Roosevelt was a communist. The Oct. 9 letter of response contains assertions that are so over the top that I thought surely everyone would get the joke – or will they? What do you think? The text follows: Reader Dave Reinkens, in his interesting and insightful Sept. 4 letter, states that FDR was a communist. Well, so was Ronald Reagan, but I don’t hear many people getting upset about it. Both FDR and Reagan expanded and enlarged America’s military so that from 1933 to 1990, the USSR never attempted to attack our country. Not even once. Coincidence? I think not. The communist Ronald Reagan helped himself to socialized medicine at least 10 times at taxpayer expense, getting over $155,000 in free medical care, all of it paid for by people who do an activity known as “work.” Since 2004, the communists Ashcroft, Cheney and Bush also used socialized medicine to get themselves over $100,000 worth of free gallbladder, cardiac and colon surgery, paid for by – you guessed it – the taxpayers. Apparently “socialized medicine” is fine and wonderful when used by elite millionaires, but horrible and immoral when used by working Americans. Why is this not surprising? Jim Snyder Medford, Ore. That's the full text of the Oct. 9 letter. You know where to find me.
10/5/2007 8:57:09 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Thursday, October 04, 2007
What can we do with bankers?
Posted by Dave
Mint Director Ed Moy has his work cut out for him. His mission is to promote the use of $1 coins. It is not an easy task under the best of circumstances, but just how hard it is becomes obvious when I read a story on one of my favorite Web sites, www.coinflation.com. This site keeps track of the prices of copper, zinc and nickel and the values of U.S. coinage made out of base metals. With the nickel containing almost 7 cents’ worth of metal, it is useful to keep track of the fluctuations, so I have reason to visit the site regularly. But there is an added appeal. The site also posts interesting stories. Yesterday one of those stories that make collectors shake their heads in disbelief was posted from the Peoria Journal Star. It reported a police investigation. What was the crime? Passing counterfeit coins at a Macomb, Ill., restaurant. Circulating counterfeit coins are unusual. The low values don’t offer criminals sufficient reward for the trouble of making the fakes. My interest was aroused. Four coins were passed. Each featured a different portrait. One was George Washington, another was John Adams, a third was Thomas Jefferson and the fourth, the coin that set off the investigation shows the head of ... drum roll, please ... James Madison. This “suspicious” coin was spotted by an unnamed banker. Why, the coin is not due out until later this year. It must be fake, the banker’s reasoning went. “The coins appeared to have come from a collector’s proof set,” the story says. The banker and the police have all the salient facts to make a correct determination. Instead of concluding that the coins were genuine and someone simply had broken up a proof set to spend, they launch an ominous sounding counterfeit investigation. Even if we can’t teach numismatics to bankers, perhaps they could be taught criminal psychology. That would have saved police a lot of bother. No crook is going to try to spend something of very low value that stands out from ordinary cash transactions. Making oneself conspicuous for $4 just doesn’t cut it. My compliments, though, to the restaurant that accepted the coins. That establishment took the coins and then deposited them with its bank. Director Moy can call it one small success in his campaign.
10/4/2007 9:04:38 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Wednesday, October 03, 2007
Grab your brush
Posted by Dave
I recalled an old saying yesterday that it is better to be silent and thought a fool than to open one’s mouth and prove it. This went fleetingly through my mind as I checked the weekly statistics about the numismaticnews.net Web site and the traffic to my blog. I was looking to see what the price of “silence” was last week. I had a concern not having posted anything last Friday and a simple invitation last Thursday to rejoin me on Oct. 1 that there might be a noticeable impact on the visits to my blog in the following days. The numbers indicate that this doesn’t seem to be the case. I hope I did not disappoint too many visitors when they discovered nothing new on Friday, but it is gratifying to know that should I awake with a toothache in the night, the roof won’t fall in the next morning and in the following week when no blog appears. Or, maybe I am on to something. Maybe I can post a “Watch this Space” sign here and go for days or weeks on end doing nothing. It would marvelously ease the burdens of my day. Or I could simply ask the question as to what stupendous and new topic would next appear in this space and ask readers to speculate with their postings. That, too, could go on for weeks. Then again, perhaps I am too much in thrall to the book I am currently reading about Mark Twain’s life. There is that little matter of Tom Sawyer, his friends and the fence that needed whitewashing ... Works for me.
10/3/2007 8:57:22 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Tuesday, October 02, 2007
To sell or not to sell, that is the question
Posted by Dave
It is time to sympathize with the U.S. Mint over its pricing of the uncirculated “W” American Eagle gold coins. It is experiencing the perils that face every vendor of bullion coins: rapid market fluctuation. It is almost a week late in repricing these coins. How do you make money when a daily price movement can severely dent or even eliminate the profit on a gold coin? Regular bullion dealers basically benchmark volume. Sell 10,000 ounces today. Make sure you have another 10,000 bought so by the close of business the position is square. As crazy as it sounds, this can put bullion sellers in the position of replacing inventory with higher priced replacement coins. More money would be made simply holding on. But that is not a bullion seller’s business. In fact, simply holding on would end the business. The cash flow comes from getting a percentage of each sale as profit. The Mint is facing this bullion seller’s challenge of fluctuating markets with the added handicap of thinking it needs to offer coins at fixed prices. When prices are rapidly escalating, this creates two choices: sell at a loss or don’t sell at all. The Mint has chosen the latter at least for the time being. I have suggested in this space that perhaps the Mint should float its prices and adjust them regularly with the market. Perhaps the delay in reoffering the gold “W” uncirculated coins is an indication that this possibility is being explored. Or, the Mint could simply be a deer caught in headlights.
10/2/2007 9:04:31 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Monday, October 01, 2007
Careful, it might fall
Posted by Dave
I am back. I have not yet figured out whether I want to be yet. This isn’t my typical Monday morning attitude, but it is prompted by a large pile of material precariously stacked up on my chair. I had to move it to get started here. I will have to go through it later. More than a decade into the Internet Age I still receive quantities of snail mail that mount up quickly in my absence. I make arrangements for the mail to be handled so the news gathering process never stops, but even then some of the mail requires my attention on my return. I am anxious to learn what occurred at the Long Beach show. It is a major event on the hobby calendar. In the 1980s and 1990s Long Beach always seemed to be marked by a swoon in the price of gold. Not anymore. I don’t know of anyone who actually tallied the number of times gold weakened going into the show. It might have been a mirage, but it was a mirage that many of us shared and commented on at the time. The fourth calendar quarter starts today and many will want to know how business is settling down now that we are in the heart of the autumn collecting season. I want to know too and that makes this a good point to stop for today.
10/1/2007 8:59:54 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Thursday, September 27, 2007
Please rejoin me on Monday
Posted by dave
I am off today and this is a notice to join me again for my blog on Monday, Oct. 1. Thanks for visiting and I hope you will rejoin me next week.
9/27/2007 9:06:50 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Wednesday, September 26, 2007
Watch Mint Web site
Posted by dave
When the U.S. Mint suspended sales of the “W” uncirculated American Eagle gold coins, it gave itself until Sept. 27 to reprice them and begin selling them again. With prices moving as fast as they have been since the Sept. 13 sales suspension, it will be interesting to see how the Mint thinks in this regard. I assume it won’t take my recommendation to let the prices fluctuate daily. A fixed price seems likely. How aggressively ahead will the Mint set the price? Will it be $50 above market for the one-ounce coin or more or less? If you want to know the Mint’s expectations for prices, this is the number to look at. Its dilemma is that too high a price will curb sales. Too low a price will ensure that the sales suspension-repricing mechanism will have to be used again before next year’s coins become available.
9/26/2007 9:06:46 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Tuesday, September 25, 2007
What is the gold record?
Posted by dave
The fact that gold is trading at levels not seen since 1980, raises a question as to just what is the record price for gold. $850 a troy ounce seems to be the popular figure, but others can justifiably cite $875 or $825. What are these? Well, the $850 is the mark achieved in London on that record setting bullion run. At the time, a generation ago, the London market was still looked upon as the most important bullion market because of its historical role in bullion trading. New York had only resumed gold bullion trading in 1975 after it became legal to own gold in the United States again, Dec. 31, 1974. The New York record trading price was $875 a troy ounce, but it was not a closing high Jan. 21, 1980. The actual close that day was $825. All three prices have legitimate reasons to be cited as the record, but because of the importance of London at the time, Numismatic News has always cited the $850 price as the high. It is a handy round-sounding number that just happens to split the difference between $875 and $825. Since the heady days of 1980, New York has gained more importance in gold trading and Numismatic News adopted New York prices as the benchmark rather than London. Those are the numbers I have used for many years. It is fair to say that any market that sees gold hit and one of those three numbers will probably be cited by headline writers. But for historical comparison purposes, it is always nice to have at least one set of numbers that is an apples to apples comparison. For me the numbers to use as a yardstick are New York numbers.
9/25/2007 9:12:11 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Monday, September 24, 2007
Buying mood sweeps markets
Posted by dave
The gold market and the stock market seem almost giddy. A rate cut on the overnight federal funds rate of one-half of one percent Sept. 18 have sent both metals and stocks rocketing higher. Gold has pushed through the May 11, 2006, high and returned the precious metal to a level not seen since Jan. 21, 1980, the date of its all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is nearing its all-time high, which was just over 14,000 hit on July 19 of this year. Enthusiasm from both markets has a tendency to spill over into the coin market, but because there isn’t a publicly reported average like the Dow, it is more difficult to pick up on it. Rising gold prices tend to improve coin dealer cash flow and they attract an investor crowd into numismatics. When dealers have more money and investors are chasing specific coins, coin prices tend to rise. The stock market part of this deal affects collectors themselves. Because so many of them are in retirement plans that benefit from stock market gains, collectors can feel more free to spend money on their coins. About the only thing that remains to be seen is what happens to house prices. Rising home prices also make collectors feel pretty optimistic and more willing to buy coins. The timing of the Long Beach Coin, Stamp and Collectibles Expo, which starts Sept. 27, couldn’t be better. It will be an opportunity for all of the market players to assess the state of things in light of the new reality in the gold and stock markets.
9/24/2007 9:01:08 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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 Friday, September 21, 2007
Will purple make you look for red and blue?
Posted by dave
Yesterday’s debut of the new design for the $5 Federal Reserve Note is good news for collectors. Any time a design is changed on notes or coins, the public notices and some discover numismatics in the process. Regular design changes to U.S. paper money began occurring in 1996 with the advent of what hobbyists call the “Big Head” design for the $100 Federal Reserve Note. It was no accident that the paper money hobby really took off following this event. We have since cycled through $50s, $20s and $10s. Some have changed a couple of times, with the most recent generation of notes having subtle shades of color. Subtle may be good. The Treasury was worried about negative public reaction to bold use of color. The new $5 will have a large purple “5” on the lower left of the back of the note, or is it lavender or mauve? Which name is more subtle? But whether the Treasury worries about color are justified or not, they have definitely succeeded in the past 11 years with making the public comfortable with new notes. I looked in my wallet to pull a $5 and a $10 as references and it occurred to me that the $10 is the first generation of Big Head note, not the second, so older notes obviously are still circulating side by side with the current series without many people noticing a difference. Subtle colors may be good for another reason. It distinguishes current paper money from the earlier issues that ran from the 1860s to the 1960s. Few remember the blue seals of Silver Certificates and the red seals of United States Notes. Almost nobody recalls yellow seals of Gold Certificates. These colors helped the public make distinctions between types of paper and payment. Now color is solely a counterfeit deterrent. The idea of having different classes of money sounds odd or quaint, but finding out about them as a collector is exciting. Whether the “5” on the $5 is purple or not is not the question. The question is how many people who happen to notice the color at all will go on to find the bolder colors on the notes of prior generations and avidly collect them? I think quite a few.
9/21/2007 9:12:59 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)
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